Why do so many studies suggest obesity as an independent risk and why dieting is futile...

back to healthread                                         Back to obesity position paper

As the New Year has arrived, the diet industry is booming out its message - different ads but it's all same i.e. "lose weight easily" (with their program).
 
A message which is being highly UNDER emphasized in the media (they ARE all about selling something) is the fact that this may just be the year we should discard dieting forever and instead look to really BECOMING healthy by making better food choices (i.e. no fast food, junk food or alcohol), getting rid of bad habits like smoking and considering some type of cardio exercise.
 
In March 2005, the senior scientist at the CDC announced that the figures on obesity deaths had been way over estimated.  The re-computed figures, Dr Kathleen Flegal stated, were obesity related deaths were no more than 112,000.  She also stated that the CDC stats showed that people in the overweight and obese BMI's (26-35) appeared to live longer than people at the so called "normal weights".
 
Since some 86,000 of the 112,000 so called obesity deaths were at BMI 26-35, several scientists have suggested that the real adjusted obesity death figure is a measily 26,000 per year.
 
But even if 112,000 per year, what part did lifestyle factors take in these deaths i.e. poor diet and sedentary lifestyle? 
 
95 percent of the public does not exercise enough to affect their weight and only 5 percent of the public exercises 5 days a week or more.
 
Therefore, continued Flegal, the connection between those 112,000 and obesity may be weak or non existent.
 
Interestingly enough, cancer kills a half million people a year and smoking is directly related to 95 percent of chronic lung disorder and 400,000 deaths a year.
 
But obesity seems most of what we hear about in the news.  I have known people in Weight Watchers who are leaders and say constantly how they "got healthy" because they lost weight and then, go out and have a cigarette during a break. Huh?  What is wrong with that picture?
 
So why you may ask are we told on a daily basis how dangerous obesity is?
 
The simple answer is that selling diets and medical solutions to obesity profits those involved over 40 BILLION dollars a year - that's enough of a reason to suppress the truth about obesity right there.
 
And what IS that truth?
 
For one, to date obesity has NOT been well proven as an independent risk factor for disease.  In those studies which suggest obesity IS a risk factor, fitness is not considered and almost never are food choices considered.  Books on de-coding studies tell us that 95 percent of studies have a fatal flaw.  Some studies use data which is in existence already (scientists call these "data dredge" studies) - data which has not been collected specifically FOR the study.  Obviously in these large data dredge studies, many factors, one of which might change the result, are not available to the researchers.
 
One classic data dredge study in the headlines for weeks was one conducted by Dr Hu et al out of Harvard Medical School.  The researchers concluded using an existent group of data that being fit would not reduce risk if the person was fat. The problems with that study (any one of which invalidates the result) are as follows:
 
  • self reported data on exercise habits - can be very inaccurate
  • if someone exercised 3 times a week or more, they were assumed "fit"
    • fitness can only truly be ascertained by physical exam, treadmill test, O-2 test etc
  • exercise habits only surveyed 5 times in 20 years
    • people are not consistent with exercise programs so the persistence of those who reported exercising is probably a low percentage (only 25 percent of the population exercises CONSISTENTLY)
  • Obesity judged SOLELY by the recorded weight in 1976
    • obese individuals likely attempted to lose weight several times during the 20 years of the study - thus greatly increasing their risk factors over if they remained at the same weight
    • 2 studies of women over 50 showed that those who remained at the same weight had half the risk of heart attack as those losing even a modest amount of weight (even if done sensibly) and even if those women who remained the same were obese to begin with.
  • At least two of the researchers on this study were affiliated with the diet industry or pharmaceutical corporations producing diet pills
    • Willett has been on the payroll of the Atkins Corporation which has paid millions for him to prove their low carb diet is "safe"
    • JoAnn Manson was a consultant for the manufacturer of Redux, a drug about which she admitted, in 1995,  did cause pulmonary hypotension but was only a "slight risk"

Stephen Milloy, Fox News junk science journalist, had some interesting things to write about this study.

Milloy wrote:

>>>>> I don’t know whether fat-but-fit is a myth, but I do know that Hu’s study is extraordinarily dubious.

Data on the women’s level of physical activity were collected at numerous points during the study (in 1980, 1982, 1988, 1992, 1996 and 1998). In contrast, the data on the women’s bodyweight were collected only once — by self-report in 1976.

So Hu’s results are based on analyses of the women’s bodyweights in 1976 and their subsequent physical activity levels as much as 22 years later. Hu's myth-busting effort might have been on firmer ground had he showed, for example, that women who were consistently overweight but active throughout 1976-1998 had greater mortality than women who were consistently lean-and-fit throughout that time frame.

Hu claims that the 1976 bodyweight data alone were used “to reduce the effects of underlying disease on weight” — whatever that means. He, therefore, admits possession of the bodyweight data for the period 1976-1998.

I can only conclude that Hu chose to use the 1976 data alone because they gave him the myth-busting, headline-making answer he wanted.

http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,130263,00.html

 

Many studies on obesity and disease use the so called risk factor numbers (c-reactive proteins, cholesterol, blood pressure etc) to judge health rather than really clinically examining the participants.

 
This ignores the fact that the so called risk factor numbers, lower in someone fasting or dieting are ALSO lower in terminal cancer patients and AIDS patients but one can certainly NOT say that cancer and AIDS patients are under less risk of disease and death.  Numbers alone can be very misleading as we discovered through the so called IQ problems in the 1930's - 1960's.
 
Researchers who do meta studies (studies of current research) often eliminate the studies which suggest the wrong thing so that the results of the study seem to prove what they wish to prove.  Kind of like the old "1 in 8 say this is a good product" but what they don't tell you is how many they asked who gave the wrong answer and were eliminated from the calculations.
 
Many studies on obesity are funded BY the diet industry or pharmaceuticals selling diet pills.  A study proving obesity is risky funded by the diet industry reminds me of the fox guarding the hen house.
 
As we have heard yet recently again, it is a "standard practice" in the pharmaceutical industry to suppress negative results.  This practice actually RUINED the hearts of some folks when bad results from the Bextra and Vioxx studies were withheld from the general public.
 
But of course that's been done for years.
 
For example in the Met Life build studies in the 1970's, meant to tell us for once and for all, what was a healthy weight (remember they produced the weight charts we used before the era of BMI), their results were all over the board. At some ages, the thinner folks lived longer but at other ages, it was the fatter ones who survived better.
 
For example, at the age of 49, females who were 5'4" most likely to be the healthiest, weighed over 190 lbs.
 
Met Life knew "the world" was waiting for their results and since they basically HAD NO RESULTS i.e. could not find a standard healthy weight, they took the most healthy weights at the age of 20 and computed a new chart mathematically.
 
Finally, I have discovered individuals who simply misread the studies so as to not disturb their agenda.  One individual I've had some discussions with, listened to the Rudy Leibel speech on the powerful biochemical system which defends the highest weight and all he got out of that speech was a half a sentence i.e. when Dr Leibel stated that even a small weight loss like 10 lbs helped risk factors. The other half of the sentence was "but most people cannot even keep off a small loss".  He totally missed where Dr Leibel stated that there is NO weight loss program at present which is successful for most people.
 
Finally, the whole diet industry is predicated on selling us on the myth that most of us CAN lose weight and keep it off.  Science tells us something different.  All studies show that even the most clever weight loss programs like Weight Watchers over a 2 year period netted participants a measily 11 lb loss.
 
The studies also clearly tell us that the lifestyle factors which have been shown to reduce risk i.e. good food choices and exercise, apparently reduce risk whether you lose weight or not.
 
Bottom line, only 5 percent of people can keep off the weight they lose but 95 percent of people seem to think they are in that 5 percent.
 
Why we cannot keep off weight is no longer a mystery according to Dr Rudy Leibel whose excellent speech on the strong biochemical system which kicks in forcing a re-gain has NEVER made the news media.
 
He stated that "the system is set up to defend bodyfat so if you monkey with it down here, all *ell breaks out and the body goes haywire!"
 
He has discovered 4 hormones which the body plays with to make people trying to keep a weight loss just not feel well.  He says there may be as many as 40 hormones involved.
 
From Dr Leibel's studies of formerly obese (who are keeping weight off), he observed that they are hungry all the time, are cold and other symptoms of the biochemical system kicking in to force a weight gain. When they exercise, these individuals burn 15 to 20 percent LESS calories than a normally thin person and they evidence large amounts of cortisol in the blood (the cortisol has been observed in some studies to cause weight gain in and of itself).
 
And of course, dieting has been shown to be a risky behavior, actually raising the CVD risk as much as 40 percent in people over 50  (even the news media agreed that people over 65 should NOT diet).
 
The Cooper Institute studies of 20,000 men and 9500 women and the HAES study of SC do give us an answer and that is that people who exercise and eat healthy have a significantly less risk of death and disease REGARDLESS of what they weigh (and the risk is about the same for both normal weight and very fat).
 
> Lee CD, Blair SN, Jackson AS. Cardiorespiratory fitness, body composition,
> and all-cause and cardiovascular disease mortality in men. American
> Journal of Clinical Nutrition. 1999 Mar;69(3):373-80
>
>
> Normal, fit men: RR = 0.83
> Obese, fit men: RR = 0.90
> Lean, fit men: RR = 1.0
> Normal, unfit men: RR = 1.61
> Obese, unfit men: RR = 1.92
> Lean, unfit men: RR = 2.06
 
(any relative risk less than 2.0 is considered insignificant. As you can see, the differential between fat men who exercise and normal weight men who exercise was only 0.07)
 
There is also some evidence that being heavier and having some adipose may be an advantage in a stronger immune system and less osteoporosis. (see Glenn Gaesser's metastudy - cite below)
 
We are told that osteoarthritis is greater in heavy people but I got a dose of reality when I saw a man I have known for 25 years, who never had any fat on his body, 5 years younger than I am, who is now, as stiff as a board while fat old me is pretty agile.
 
Is there a risk to obesity?  Maybe but it has yet to be really proven.
 
So in 2006, throw out the scale and go for the healthy way of life - and if you don't have the genetics to be in that lucky 5 percent who can keep slim, celebrate the abilities you DO have which are probably much more important than "looking slim" regardless of what the Jenny Craig commercials tell us.
 
resources:
 
The following books have up to date information on Obesity research
 
    Campos, Paul: THE OBESITY MYTH, (NY, 2003) or THE DIET MYTH (NY,2005)
    Fraser, L., Losing It: America's Obsession with Weight and the Industry that Feeds on it, 1997, Dutton (New York)
    Gaesser, Glenn, PhD:Big Fat Lies, Fawcett (NY, 1996, CA, 2002)
    Colles, Lisa: Fat, Exploding the Myths, Carlton (London, 1998)
    Pool, Robert:  FAT - exploring the obesity epidemic (NY, 2001)
 
Websites:
 
http://www.cswd.org/  Council on size and fitness
http://healthread.net/obesity.htm
 
Dr Leibel's speech (highly recommended listening!)
http://videocast.nih.gov/ram/ccgr011404.ram
 
The problem with obesity studies by Sandy Szwarc, BSN, RN
http://www.techcentralstation.com/012605E.html